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Monthly Archives: May 2020
Will Economic Growth Return in Fall?
Financial FAQs Wrightson.com The second estimate of first quarter real GDP growth was revised to a negative -5.0 percent from its initial estimate of -4.8 percent, with the decline in consumer services the main culprit. It only hints at how … Continue reading
What Letter Will Describe This Pandemic?
Popular Economics Weekly Conference-board.org The Conference Board’s consumer confidence survey should help to predict the shape of this economic recovery from COVID-19. It’s shape will mirror the degree of “uncertainty” felt by consumers. In the words of Lynn Franco, Senior … Continue reading
Will Those Jobs Return?
The Mortgage Corner Wrightson.com Initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by just 249K to 2.438 million in seasonally adjusted terms in the week of May 16, as the businesses begin to reopen in all 50 states. The aggregate level of … Continue reading
Consumer at Center of Any Recovery
Financial FAQs FRED retail sales The American economy has depended on consumers’ health, and consumer spending since the 1950s, really. Consumers generate some 70 percent of economic activity from their purchases, with government spending and capital expenditures in the private … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, Economy, Keynesian economics, Politics
Tagged consumer confidence, consumer spending, COVID-19, foreign trade, trade tariffs
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In The Age of Anxiety
Popular Economics Weekly thesocialhistorian.com We are now in a full-blown “Age of Anxiety”; not the first, of course. There was as much anxiety during the 1918-20 Spanish Flue pandemic that reportedly killed 50 million in a series of worldwide outbreaks … Continue reading
The Times Are Changing
Financial FAQs DOL.gov “The Times They Are a Changin” was Bob Dylan’s song for the 1960’s. Change was happening because of the Vietnam War and civil rights era. That is nothing like the coming changes we will see in the … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, Economy, Keynesian economics, Politics
Tagged Bob Dylan, COVID-19, Great Recession, initial jobless claims
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The Times Are Changing
Financial FAQs DOL.gov “The Times They Are a Changin” was Bob Dylan’s song for the 1960’s. Change was happening because of the Vietnam War and civil rights era. That is nothing like the coming changes we will see in the … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, Economy, Keynesian economics, Politics
Tagged Bob Dylan, COVID-19, Great Recession, initial jobless claims
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Government Was Never the Problem
Popular Economics Weekly MarketWatch.com President Reagan’s all-encompassing campaign slogan that “government is the problem” was never the problem. But competent governance has been a problem; in as much as incompetent leaders have been the problem dogging any degree of prosperity … Continue reading
Posted in Economy, Macro Economics, Politics
Tagged Great Depression, Labor laws, President Reagan, President Roosevelt
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The Coming Greater Depression?
Popular Economics Weekly MarketWatch.com Minnesota Fed Governor Neal Kashkari believes the COVID-19 pandemic doesn’t have to bring on another Great Depression. But it will still take some 18 months to recover, and only if Americans are able to cooperate in … Continue reading
Posted in Economy, Keynesian economics, Politics, Weekly Financial News
Tagged anxiety, consumer confidence, COVID-19, GDP growth, Great Recession
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The Coming Anxiety Pandemic
Popular Economics Weekly Dryuz.com Americans’ confidence in their future is dropping substantially as they decide who to trust during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hence what Nobel laureate economist Robert Shiller has called the result of the loss of confidence—an anxiety pandemic. … Continue reading