Category Archives: Consumers

Here’s to a Return of Normal!

Popular Economics Weekly FREDretailsales Is it possible after years of pandemic and post-pandemic vicissitudes, the US economy is returning to a normal growth pattern, and Americans can breathe easier about the future? By that I mean consumers are shopping as … Continue reading

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What Caused the Pandemic Inflation?

Financial FAQs FREDprofits/gdi The St. Louis Fed (FRED) graph of corporate profits as a percentage of Gross Domestic Income (GDI), a good proxy for gross domestic output (GDP), explains much of what boosted inflation during the COVID pandemic. The product … Continue reading

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Higher Economic Growth Ahead?

Financial FAQs AtlantaGDPNow The US economy continues to expand in all sectors—with consumers as well as in manufacturing. But it was consumers that provided most of the 2.4 percent increase in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the ‘advance’ (first of … Continue reading

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Jobs Still Plentiful!

Popular Economics Weekly MarketWatch.com The Fed Governors should be happy with Friday’s unemployment report—nothing has really changed over the past several months, including record low unemployment, inflation continuing to decline, and average hourly wages holding at 4.4 percent. “Both the … Continue reading

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Q3 Economic Growth to Double?

Popular Economics Weekly AtlantaFedGDPNow We could have even higher third quarter economic growth, believe it or not, from the second quarter 2.4 percent (advance) growth estimate by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model estimates … Continue reading

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A Lot of Job Openings!

Financial FAQs Calculated Risk Blog It’s hard to reconcile the recent downgrade of US Treasury debt by Fitch Ratings, one of the three major debt rating agencies, to AA+ from AAA, with the US economy still at full employment. “The … Continue reading

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“The Housing Recession Is Over!”

The Mortgage Corner One should maybe forgive National Association of Realtor’s chief economist Lawrence Yun’s enthusiasm when he exclaimed “the housing recession is over,” because the NAR’s Pending Home Sales rose for the first time in four months. And this … Continue reading

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It’s Consumer Spending, Stupid! – Part II

Financial FAQs BEA.gov The US economy continues to expand in all sectors—with consumers as well as in manufacturing. But it was consumers that provided most of the 2.4 percent increase in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the ‘advance’ (first of … Continue reading

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What Is Bidenomics?

The Mortgage Corner The best way to describe ‘Bidenomics’ now being touted by a growing consensus of economists is best explained in the recent resurgence of construction spending, as portrayed in the FRED graph. FREDconstructionspend Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman, among … Continue reading

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There’s a Housing Shortage

The Mortgage Corner We know the spring buying season barely got off the ground because of elevated mortgage rates, I said last week. Another reason was elevated prices, due to the housing shortage. And builders aren’t keeping up with homebuyers’ … Continue reading

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