Category Archives: Economy

A Greater Lawlessness—Self Interest vs. The Common Interest

Popular Economics Weekly Are we at the beginning of an era of Greater Lawlessness, or nearing the end, with the greatest law breaking we may have seen in our lifetime? And are we at the beginning or end of the … Continue reading

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Leading Indicators Signal Strong Growth Ahead, If…

Popular Economics Weekly The Republican Congress needs to abandon its obsession with repealing Obamacare, since Republicans will never agree on a replacement, and many Senate Republicans have just announced they oppose the current Republican House Trumpcare proposal. Instead they need … Continue reading

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Retail Sales, Inflation, Interest Rates Rising

Financial FAQs Gasoline prices pulled down February’s retail sales, falling 0.6 percent after rising 2.1 percent in January. But when excluding volatile autos and gasoline prices, sales rose 0.2 percent vs January’s very strong 1.1 percent. And control group sales, … Continue reading

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Strong Jobs Report = Rising Interest Rates

Popular Economics Weekly Economists are almost unanimous that the Fed will raise their short term rates at next week’s FOMC meeting. This is because total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 235,000 in February, and the unemployment rate fell slightly to … Continue reading

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U.S. Will Badly Need Immigrants

Popular Economics Weekly For most of the past half-century, adults in the U.S. Baby Boom generation – those born after World War II and before 1965 – have been the main driver of the nation’s expanding workforce, reports the PEW … Continue reading

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A Gangbusters Jobs Report Tomorrow?

Financial FAQs It looks like tomorrow’s unemployment report could be the best of the New Year.  That’s because ADP’s February private payroll estimate is 298,000, a yuge number. This would make tomorrow’s jobs report the biggest gain since October 2015 … Continue reading

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2017 Manufacturing Off To Good Start

Popular Economics Weekly What is happening with manufacturing? The ISM manufacturing index jumped 1.7 points in February to a 57.7 level that beats the consensus by 1.3 points. This is the strongest rate of monthly growth in composite activity since … Continue reading

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Slower Q4 Growth, (But) Higher Consumer Confidence

Financial FAQs The growth in the U.S. economy in the final quarter of Barack Obama’s presidency was left at 1.9 percent, held down by a bigger trade deficit even as consumer spending rebounded strongly. In fact, Q4 GDP growth slowed … Continue reading

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Higher New Home Sales, Mortgage Lending

The Mortgage Corner We wrote last week about unusually restrictive mortgage standards for conforming stalwarts Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that are still wards of the US Treasury. Now we’ve learned that they are still doing almost record loan volumes. … Continue reading

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Retail Sales and Consumer Prices Show Real Life

Financial FAQs Retail sales rose 0.4 percent last month following a much bigger gain in December than originally reported, the government said Wednesday. Economists polled had forecast a 0.2 percent increase. Retail sales are now up more than 5 percent … Continue reading

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