Category Archives: Politics

Big Rise in Q1 Economic Growth

Popular Economics Weekly BEA.gov Economic growth in Q1 2023 was much better than pundits and economists predicted. GDP growth rose from its second estimate of 1.3 percent to 2.0 percent growth in the first quarter, largely because consumers spent more. … Continue reading

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American Consumers Happier

Financial FAQs American consumers can live with higher inflation, according to the Conference Board’s latest confidence survey, but can the Fed? Its survey of U.S. consumer confidence jumped to a 17-month high of 109.7 in June, reflecting a slowdown in … Continue reading

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Wrong Lessons Learned From 1970s

Financial FAQs Much talk has been made of what the Chairman Powell and US Fed officials say they learned from the inflation spiral of the 1970s. Keep employees’ wages from rising too fast, since they are that part of the … Continue reading

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Q2 GDP Growth Higher?

Financial FAQs AtlantaFederalReserve The Atlanta Fed’s GDPnow graph perfectly illustrates how uncertain are predictions for second quarter economic growth. They go literally from negative growth to 2 percent plus! Why? Because though manufacturing sector growth has been negative for seven months, … Continue reading

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Building a ‘Livable’ Climate Change Coalition

CHAPTER ELEVEN Old Town’s Revival Chapter Eleven is an excerpt from my memoir that discusses tools needed to form a community consensus. Our effort was dedicated to redevelopment of Old Town Goleta, prior to forming the new City of Goleta. … Continue reading

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Debt Ceiling Deal Preserves New Deal

Financial FAQs FREDusdebt President Biden said it best concerning the agreement to raise the national debt ceiling for two years, when asked at the G-7 summit if it could cause a recession. “I know it won’t…Matter of fact, the fact … Continue reading

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U.S. Economic Life Signs Improve

Popular Economics Weekly FREDpceindex After a sputtering start, it looks like the U.S. economy is picking up steam. First Quarter GDP growth was revised upward from 1.1 to 1.3 percent in the BEA’s second estimate yesterday. And the Personal Consumption … Continue reading

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Retail Sales Still Healthy

Financial FAQs Calculated Risk/Census Bureau Why do consumers keep spending with so much news warning of an impending recession? Well, because we’re not even close to a recession yet. NYTimes columnist and Nobel laureate Paul Krugman has been puzzling over … Continue reading

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Wholesale Inflation is Tamed

Financial FAQs BLS.gov April’s Producer Price Index for final demand confirmed the wholesale cost of goods and services has already returned to a 2 percent range, which should enable Fed officials to say the battle against COVID-induced inflation is almost … Continue reading

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More Housing Sorely Needed

The Mortgage Corner I said last week that higher new home sales and rising homebuilders’ optimism foretells a strong summer sales season if builders and existing-home inventories don’t run out of housing stock. The construction industry is responding. Spending in … Continue reading

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