Category Archives: Weekly Financial News

What is the Real Inflation Problem?

Financial FAQs FREDppi What is worse, inflation rates, say, of 4 to 5 percent—slightly above historical averages, and average gas prices maybe $3.50 per gallon as they are today—or raising short term rates enough to make consumers pay more and … Continue reading

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When Bad News is Good News

Financial FAQs FREDserviceemployees Doomsayers, such as historian Niall Ferguson, may be doing the Federal Reserve’s job by predicting a recession or worse in the coming year. Their dire warnings are causing plunging stock prices for starters. And oil prices are … Continue reading

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Why Slow Down U.S. Growth?

Popular Economics Weekly MarketWatch Once again, all job categories were positive in the Labor Department’s August unemployment report. Professional/Business, Education & Health, Retail, and Leisure & Hospitality created 211,000 of the 315,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in August’s payroll tally. Why … Continue reading

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Where’s the Slowdown?

Popular Economics Weekly Calculated Risk The Labor Department’s JOLTS report just out shows job openings are still at twice the number of job hirings. How does this justify what seems to be pundits fixation on the possibility of a recurring … Continue reading

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What is Real Cause of Inflation?

Financial FAQs FREDcpiinflation Fed Chair Jerome Powell just said Americans must now feel the pain if the Fed is to bring inflation back to its long-term 2 percent annual target. But why 2 percent? It was the inflation rate that … Continue reading

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Economic Growth to Resume

Popular Economics Weekly BEA.gov It looks like the slowdown in US economic growth may end as quickly as it began. Second quarter economic growth was slightly less negative in the BEA’s second estimate of GDP growth, because key drivers of … Continue reading

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Inflation Not The Real Problem

Financial FAQs FREDcpiinflation Inflation is falling again with national gas prices below $4 per gallon while food prices are also beginning to decline. The NY Times’ Paul Krugman has also pointed out that food prices should continue to decline per … Continue reading

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Domestic Industrial Production Surging

Financial FAQs FREDindustrialproduction U.S. industrial production is the highest since 2018, continuing its climb from the two-month 2020 recession (gray bar in graph). Automobile production highlighted the surge. This is huge, folks, and a sign that GDP growth in the … Continue reading

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Labor Market Even Hotter!

Popular Economics Weekly MarketWatch I said last month that the June labor market was hot. It was even hotter in July. Every industry in the Labor Department’s unemployment report had positive job growth in July, with Education and Health alone … Continue reading

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Is the Recession Already Over?

Financial FAQs Calculated Risk I was being a bit facetious last week when I said that calling a recession at this time because we may have two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth is almost irrelevant, because it may be … Continue reading

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