Tag Archives: consumer spending

Why a Recession?

Financial FAQs “The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.4 percent on April 9, up from -2.8 percent on April 3. AtlantaFed The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow graph of estimated … Continue reading

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Stagflation vs. Recession?

Popular Economics Weekly Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 228,000 in March, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.2 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in social assistance, and in … Continue reading

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Can We Prevent Stagflation?

Popular Economics Weekly During the 1973 Arab-Israeli War, Arab members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) imposed an embargo against the United States in retaliation for the U.S. decision to re-supply the Israeli military and to gain leverage … Continue reading

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What Happened to Animal Spirits?

Financial FAQs “We’re seeing a strong divergence between animal spirits of the stock market and what we’re actually seeing unfold from businesses and business leaders,” a White House official told reporters Monday, CNBC reported, adding, “The latter is obviously more … Continue reading

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What Happens Next?

Financial FAQs “In an interview with Fox News on Sunday, Trump refused to rule out a recession for the U.S. this year, implying his tariff strategy and attempts to cut government spending were part of a necessary transition that in … Continue reading

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What Happened to the Minimum Wage?

Popular Economics Weekly As of January 2025, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Tennessee have not adopted a state minimum wage. This means that workers in these states earn the federal minimum wage of $7.25 per hour. PBS.org Currently, just 34 states, territories … Continue reading

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Are Consumers In Danger?–Part II

The Mortgage Corner “In February, consumer confidence registered the largest monthly decline since August 2021, This is the third consecutive month on month decline, bringing the Index to the bottom of the range that has prevailed since 2022.” Stephanie Guichard, … Continue reading

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Q4 Economic Growth Continues

Popular Economics Weekly Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the … Continue reading

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Why Inflation Still a Problem?

Financial FAQs The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (PCE) isn’t declining because consumers continue to spend more than they earn. Why? BEA.gov Such spending gave a boost to retail sales and so made holiday shoppers happier. But … Continue reading

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Retail Sales Boost Q4 Growth

Financial FAQs “Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for December 2024, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $729.2 billion, an increase of 0.4 percent (±0.5 percent)* from the … Continue reading

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