Tag Archives: economics

Are We in a Recession?

Financial FAQs “The preliminary estimate of the Current Employment Statistics (CES) national benchmark revision to total nonfarm employment for March 2025 is -911,000 (-0.6 percent), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. BLS.gov FREDunemployment There was a lot of … Continue reading

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This Inflation Isn’t Temporary–Part II

Popular Economics Weekly From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for July increased 2.6 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 2.9 percent from one year ago. BLS.gov BLS.gov The PCE price index is one … Continue reading

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This Inflation isn’t Temporary

Popular Economics Weekly The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.9 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices were unchanged in June and moved up 0.4 percent in May. BLS.gov … Continue reading

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What is Q3 Growth To Be?

Popular Economics Weekly “The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 2.5 percent on August 5, up from 2.1 percent on August 1. GDPNow AtlantaFedGDPNow Predictions for third quarter GDP economic … Continue reading

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The Return of Stagflation

The Mortgage Corner “From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for June increased 2.6 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 2.8 percent from one year ago.” BEA.gov FREDpceinflation President Trump hasn’t succeeded in convincing … Continue reading

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Second Quarter Growth No Big Deal

Financial FAQs “Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first … Continue reading

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Inflation Week is Here

Financial FAQs “The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in June, after rising 0.1 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, … Continue reading

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Worried Consumers Shop Less

Popular Economics Weekly “Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—decreased $125.0 billion (0.6 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $29.3 billion (0.1 percent).” BEA.GOV We are seeing one of the classic signs of a looming recession—consumers are … Continue reading

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First Quarter Growth Revised Lower

Financial FAQs “Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of -0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), according to the third estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth … Continue reading

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Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill?

Answering Kennedy’s Call “The House has now passed what must surely be the worst piece of legislation in modern U.S. history. Millions of Americans are about to see crucial government support snatched away. A significant number will die prematurely due … Continue reading

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