Tag Archives: finance

What is Q3 Growth To Be?

Popular Economics Weekly “The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2025 is 2.5 percent on August 5, up from 2.1 percent on August 1. GDPNow AtlantaFedGDPNow Predictions for third quarter GDP economic … Continue reading

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The Return of Stagflation

The Mortgage Corner “From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for June increased 2.6 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 2.8 percent from one year ago.” BEA.gov FREDpceinflation President Trump hasn’t succeeded in convincing … Continue reading

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Why the Weak Employment Report?

Popular Economics Weekly “Total nonfarm payroll employment changed little in July (+73,000) and has shown little change since April. The unemployment rate, at 4.2 percent, changed little in July. Employment continued to trend up in health care and in social … Continue reading

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Second Quarter Growth Estimates Decline

Popular Economics Weekly “The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.4 percent on July 18, unchanged from July 17 after rounding. After this morning’s housing starts release from the US … Continue reading

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When Will Housing Recover?

The Mortgage Corner “Overall, I expect tariffs to boost inflation by about 1 percentage point over the second half of this year and the first part of next year,” John Williams, New York Fed President. NPR The housing market is … Continue reading

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Inflation Week is Here

Financial FAQs “The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in June, after rising 0.1 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, … Continue reading

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A Better Jobs Report?

Popular Economics Weekly “Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 147,000 in June, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in state government and health care. Federal government … Continue reading

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Too Many Vacant Jobs?

Financial FAQs The number of job openings was little changed at 7.8 million in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, both hires and total separations were little changed at 5.5 million and 5.2 million, … Continue reading

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Worried Consumers Shop Less

Popular Economics Weekly “Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—decreased $125.0 billion (0.6 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $29.3 billion (0.1 percent).” BEA.GOV We are seeing one of the classic signs of a looming recession—consumers are … Continue reading

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First Quarter Growth Revised Lower

Financial FAQs “Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of -0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), according to the third estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth … Continue reading

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