Tag Archives: finance

Are We Flying Blind?

Popular Economics Weekly “The United States economy is like a poker game where the chips have become concentrated in fewer and fewer hands, and where the other fellows can stay in the game only by borrowing. When their credit runs … Continue reading

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Will Fed Give Up the Inflation Fight?

Financial FAQs “Consumers continue to express frustration over the persistence of high prices, with 44% spontaneously mentioning that high prices are eroding their personal finances, the highest reading in a year.” University of Michigan Sentiment Survey FREDcpi Federal Reserve Chair … Continue reading

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Whose Inflation Is It?

Financial FAQs “Still, despite multiple offsetting drivers, the tariff shock is further dimming already lackluster growth prospects. We expect a slowdown in the second half of this year, with only a partial recovery in 2026, and, compared to last October’s … Continue reading

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A Different Federal Reserve

Financial FAQs “Warsh would chart a new course that de-emphasizes the inflationary impact of factors such as supply chains and tariffs in favor of a views of inflation driven by government spending and the money supply.” Barron’s Graph: Last Tech … Continue reading

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It’s Trump’s Economy Now–Part II

Financial FAQs “Despite the strong economic growth we saw in the second quarter, this month’s release further validates what we’ve been seeing in the labor market, that U.S. employers have been cautious with hiring. ADP That’s one way to characterize … Continue reading

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Why the Recession Calls?

Financial FAQs The Conference Board’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI), a read on actual economic data rather than an opinion survey like its Consumer Confidence Index, has called a recession. Its Consumer Confidence Index is hinting at the same. … Continue reading

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Are We in a Recession?

Financial FAQs “The preliminary estimate of the Current Employment Statistics (CES) national benchmark revision to total nonfarm employment for March 2025 is -911,000 (-0.6 percent), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. BLS.gov FREDunemployment There was a lot of … Continue reading

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The Job Losses Begin

Popular Economics Weekly “Trump’s arbitrary, capricious, and mercurial decisions about tariffs and everything else that affects the economy have made it impossible for employers to make even modest predictions about the future. So they won’t hire.” Robert Reich, Former U.S. … Continue reading

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Where is Robin Hood?

Financial FAQs “List and hearken, gentlemen,      That be of free-born blood,      I shall you tell of a good yeoman,      His name was Robin Hood.” FRED%gdp Where is a modern Robin Hood when we need him or her, … Continue reading

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This Inflation Isn’t Temporary–Part II

Popular Economics Weekly From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for July increased 2.6 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 2.9 percent from one year ago. BLS.gov BLS.gov The PCE price index is one … Continue reading

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