Tag Archives: GDP growth

Laffernomics and Tomorrow’s GDP Estimate

Financial FAQs The decline of so-called Laffernomics, an economic theory first proposed by conservative economist Arthur Laffer in 1974, posited in so many words that lower tax rates of the wealthiest, in particular, would increase overall tax revenues as well … Continue reading →

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Why No Inflation??

Financial FAQs Econoday There is almost no inflation, and the markets love it, as both stocks and bonds are rallying on news. The Consumer Price Index rose just 1.5 percent in February, and its core without more volatile food and … Continue reading →

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Q4 Real GDP Growth Still Good

Popular Economics Weekly BEA.gov Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2018 (table 1), according to the “initial” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third … Continue reading →

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Can U.S. Economy Weather Trade Wars?

Financial FAQs Econoday.com Why is manufacturing doing so well in the face of rising tariffs—in January when mid-winter business activity tends to slow? Consumers flush with cash from rising wages and full employment are powering higher domestic demand. Exports, on … Continue reading →

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It’s the Consumer, Stupid

Answering the Kennedys Call—Part II New York Times’ economic writer Neil Irwin in a recent Op-ed is not seeing a very robust future for global economic growth. “…what the last few months have made clear is that the forces that … Continue reading →

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A Weak Jobs Report?

Popular Economics Weekly Graph: MarketWatch “The unemployment rate declined to 3.7 percent in September, and total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 134,000, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, in health … Continue reading →

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Better Economic Growth Ahead?

Popular Economics Weekly Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 4.1 percent in the second quarter of 2018, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased … Continue reading →

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Is 4% GDP Growth Real?

Popular Economics Weekly Graph: Econoday Many economists, including Trump economic advisor Larry Kudlow, are predicting up to 4 percent economic growth over the next few quarters. Why? Full employment is enticing consumers to buy more, with booming retail sales and … Continue reading →

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Record Income Inequality + Trade War = Another Recession?

Popular Economics Weekly Graph: BigTrends.com The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, so called, was imposed in 1930 when the Hoover administration raised tariffs on 20,000 foreign, mostly agricultural, imports in an attempt to protect American farmers as we were entering the Great … Continue reading →

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Housing Construction, Leading Economic Indicators Still Strong

The Mortgage Corner Graph: Econoday The residential housing market is still starving—of supply, that is. Not enough homes are being built to meet the surging demand of new households from both millennials and immigrants. This is when construction starts fell … Continue reading →

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