Tag Archives: inflation

Q4 Growth Prospects Improve

The Mortgage Corner Prospects for better fourth quarter economic growth are improving. Why? Interest rates are declining along with inflation rates. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow Q4 estimate of economic growth that I like just picked up steam after several downward … Continue reading

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No Recession Next Year?

Financial FAQs Fortune Magazine has come up with the most interesting reasons for a looming recession in a recent edition. “Here are six reasons why a recession remains Bloomberg Economics’ base case. They range from the wiring of the human … Continue reading

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It Wasn’t the Fed

Popular Economics Weekly What more does Chairman Powell and the Federal Reserve Governors need to know to announce the inflation battle has been won? Its preferred inflation indicator has shown zero monthly increases for two months. The rate of U.S. … Continue reading

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Consumers Much Happier This Season

Financial FAQs Consumer confidence in December as measured by the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index is rising again; it jumped 10 points to 110.7 from 101. Why should that be, with all the doom and gloom and geopolitical uncertainty bombarding … Continue reading

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Please Drop Interest Rates Sooner!

Financial FAQs If I were the Fed Governors, I wouldn’t wait for inflation to drop further to begin lowering interest rates. The inflation rate has been falling steadily for more than a year and we might be in the midst of a … Continue reading

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What Happens Next?

Popular Economics Weekly What does the future foretell? Everyone wants to know what will happen next year now that the Fed is on hold and inflation continues to decline. I believe the construction industry is telling us the economy will … Continue reading

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Who Is Fully Employed in January?

Financial FAQs MarketWatch It looks like everyone is employed in the service sector, but manufacturing is sputtering. There were 44,000 new construction jobs and a whopping 72,000 in Education and health services. But manufacturing lost another 12,000 jobs in January; … Continue reading

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The U.S. Economy Is Slowing!

Financial FAQs Late Monday, the U.S. blacklisted 28 Chinese companies because of their alleged role in human-rights violations against Muslim minorities ahead of the high-level discussions which will be led by China Vice Premier Liu He on Thursday. Bloomberg also … Continue reading

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Fear of Recession Rises as Wholesale Prices Fall

The Mortgage Corner MarketWatch The wholesale cost of raw and partly finished goods both fell in August and are negative in the past year, suggesting little inflation in the “pipeline,” according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Wholesale inflation has … Continue reading

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Oh, Oh, Retail Sales Also in Decline?

Popular Economics Weekly The effects of the Trump administration’s trade wars are already slowing down consumer spending, not a good sign if Trump maintains tariffs for a longer period, as promised. Econoday.com The US Census Bureau is now reporting a … Continue reading

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