Tag Archives: investing

Why the Recession Calls?

Posted on September 23, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

Financial FAQs The Conference Board’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI), a read on actual economic data rather than an opinion survey like its Consumer Confidence Index, has called a recession. Its Consumer Confidence Index is hinting at the same. … Continue reading →

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Are We in a Recession?

Posted on September 12, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

Financial FAQs “The preliminary estimate of the Current Employment Statistics (CES) national benchmark revision to total nonfarm employment for March 2025 is -911,000 (-0.6 percent), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. BLS.gov FREDunemployment There was a lot of … Continue reading →

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This Inflation Isn’t Temporary–Part II

Posted on August 29, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

Popular Economics Weekly From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for July increased 2.6 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 2.9 percent from one year ago. BLS.gov BLS.gov The PCE price index is one … Continue reading →

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Can We Fix the Housing Shortage?

Posted on August 20, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

The Mortgage Corner “Privately-owned housing starts in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,428,000. This is 5.2 percent above the revised June estimate of 1,358,000 and is 12.9 percent above the July 2024 rate of 1,265,000. Single-family … Continue reading →

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This Inflation isn’t Temporary

Posted on August 18, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

Popular Economics Weekly The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.9 percent in July, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices were unchanged in June and moved up 0.4 percent in May. BLS.gov … Continue reading →

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Irrational Exuberance is Back

Posted on August 10, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

Financial FAQs “How errors of human judgment can infect even the smartest people, thanks to overconfidence, lack of attention to details, and excessive trust in the judgments of others, stemming from a failure to understand that others are not making … Continue reading →

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Second Quarter Growth Estimates Decline

Posted on July 21, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

Popular Economics Weekly “The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.4 percent on July 18, unchanged from July 17 after rounding. After this morning’s housing starts release from the US … Continue reading →

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Worried Consumers Shop Less

Posted on June 28, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

Popular Economics Weekly “Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—decreased $125.0 billion (0.6 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $29.3 billion (0.1 percent).” BEA.GOV We are seeing one of the classic signs of a looming recession—consumers are … Continue reading →

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U.S. Already in Recession?

Posted on June 21, 2025 by Popular Economics Weekly

Financial FAQs The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US ticked down by 0.1% in May 2025 to 99.0 (2016=100), after declining by 1.4% in April (revised downward from –1.0% originally reported). The LEI has fallen by 2.7% in … Continue reading →

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No More Inflation?

Posted on October 3, 2024 by Popular Economics Weekly

Financial FAQs The Fed is no longer worrying about inflation, since its preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE), recently dropped to a 2.2% inflation rate, close to the 2.0% target rate. Fed Chairman Powell said recently the … Continue reading →

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