Tag Archives: retail sales

What Happens in 2016?

Popular Economics Weekly Even with interest rates rising, we see 2.5 percent plus GDP growth in 2016, because of strong employment and consumer spending. An early sign of this this trend is the Conference Board’s Index of Leading Economic Indicators … Continue reading

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Why the Q3 Slowdown Predictions?

Financial FAQs The International Monetary Fund and the Federal Reserve have downgraded their estimates of growth in upcoming quarters. The IMF takes the worldwide view, with particular weakness in the emerging markets of Brazil, Nigeria, South Africa and Russia., and … Continue reading

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Construction, Retail Sales Higher

The Mortgage Corner The strength of the economy right now is in the housing and construction sectors, again areas insulated from global factors, such as China’s slowdown. Construction spending, next to vehicle sales, is perhaps the week’s best surprise, rising … Continue reading

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Consumers Lead Growth, and Business Investment

Financial FAQs The U.S. economy grew at a faster 3.7 percent annual clip in the second quarter, up from the initial estimate of 2.3 percent, the Commerce Department said Thursday. Why was that a surprise to those short sellers afraid … Continue reading

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Better Economic Growth Coming?

Popular Economics Weekly Barron’s economist Gene Epstein forecasts the possibility tomorrow’s Q2 GDP growth could be revised from 2.3 to 3.5 percent. I believe he’s a bit optimistic, but today’s snapback of stocks does mean that emerging market problems may … Continue reading

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Three % Plus YoY Economic Growth Is Here

Popular Economics Weekly We are finally back to 3 percent plus GDP growth on an annual basis. And it is largely fueled by consumer spending that has been increasing as more jobs are created. Retail and Food service sales ex-gasoline … Continue reading

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Higher Retail Sales + Consumer Confidence = Growth

Popular Economics Weekly The consumer showed a lot of life in May, driving up retail sales 1.2 percent with gains sweeping nearly all components. A leading component in the month was motor vehicle sales which jumped 2.0 percent, excluding which … Continue reading

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Fannie Says Better Growth For Rest of 2015

Popular Economics Weekly “Economic activity was suppressed in the first quarter due largely to the West Coast port disruptions and difficult weather patterns across the Northeast, but the economy is expected to gain momentum throughout the spring and reach previously … Continue reading

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Low Inflation Everywhere Is Shrinking Growth

Popular Economics Weekly Deflation is a rising risk for the U.S. economy based on import and export price data where contraction is at its most severe since the 2008-2009 recession, as well as for the rest of the world. U.S. … Continue reading

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Retail Sales Portend +4 Percent GDP in 2015

Popular Economics Weekly We have said that the prospect of higher interest rates next year may spur some extraordinary growth over the next few quarters, and just out holiday retail sales seem to be fulfilling that prophecy.  Consumer spending is … Continue reading

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