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Author Archives: Popular Economics Weekly
First Signs of Deflation Appearing
The Mortgage Corner Today’s Producer Price Index for Final Demand, a measure of the cost of wholesale prices, provides the first concrete evidence that we may be entering a period of deflation this New Year. And, perhaps require the Fed … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Economy, Macro Economics, Weekly Financial News
Tagged CPI, economics, Economy, Federal Reserve, inflation
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Please Get Inflation Picture Right!
Financial FAQs Today’s news that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was “slightly hotter than expected”, per the Wall Street Journal, caused financial markets to plunge on the assumption the Fed will reduce interest rates more slowly than markets would like … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Economy, Macro Economics, Weekly Financial News
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, housing market, inflation, macroeconomics
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When Has Inflation Declined This Quickly?
The Mortgage Corner When was the last time inflation rates declined this steeply? You guessed right if you said the Great Recession. Calculated Risk’s colorful graph of various inflation indicators (gray bars are recessions) shows the history of Core CPI … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Weekly Financial News
Tagged economics, Economy, Federal Reserve, inflation, Recession
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Still Fully Employed!
Popular Economics Weekly Ho hum. The U.S. economy was still fully employed in December. How boring! The St. Louis Fed (FRED) graph below shows the American economy has been at full employment since December 2021 when the unemployment rate first … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Economy, Macro Economics, Weekly Financial News
Tagged Economy, employment, inflation, news, unemployment
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Q4 Growth Prospects Improve
The Mortgage Corner Prospects for better fourth quarter economic growth are improving. Why? Interest rates are declining along with inflation rates. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow Q4 estimate of economic growth that I like just picked up steam after several downward … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Economy, Housing, housing market, Keynesian economics, Weekly Financial News
Tagged Economy, finance, housing market, inflation, real-estate
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Why the Irrational Pessimism?
Financial FAQs Public polls seem to be saying one thing, economic facts another. Real Clear Politics compendium of 11 opinion polls on whether participants approve or disapprove of President Biden’s handling of the economy show a negative -22.5 percent spread. … Continue reading
No Recession Next Year?
Financial FAQs Fortune Magazine has come up with the most interesting reasons for a looming recession in a recent edition. “Here are six reasons why a recession remains Bloomberg Economics’ base case. They range from the wiring of the human … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Economy, Weekly Financial News
Tagged Economy, fed, inflation, interest rates, Recession
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It Wasn’t the Fed
Popular Economics Weekly What more does Chairman Powell and the Federal Reserve Governors need to know to announce the inflation battle has been won? Its preferred inflation indicator has shown zero monthly increases for two months. The rate of U.S. … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Economy, Weekly Financial News
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, inflation, interest rates
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Consumers Much Happier This Season
Financial FAQs Consumer confidence in December as measured by the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index is rising again; it jumped 10 points to 110.7 from 101. Why should that be, with all the doom and gloom and geopolitical uncertainty bombarding … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Economy, Housing, housing market, Weekly Financial News
Tagged business, Economy, finance, inflation, news
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How Low Can Interest Rates Go?
The Mortgage Corner Stocks and bonds are rallying after Chairman Powell sounded dovish for the first time at his December press conference following their last FOMC meeting of the year. “The question of when it will be appropriate to begin … Continue reading
Posted in Consumers, COVID-19, Economy, Housing, housing market, Weekly Financial News
Tagged Economy, Federal Reserve, interest rates, mortgage rates, real-estate
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