Category Archives: Economy

Retail Sales, Consumer Spending Falter

Financial FAQs FREDretailsales Sales at U.S. retailers fell in November for the second month in a row and posted the biggest decline since the onset of the pandemic, showing effects of the record rise in coronavirus cases. Retail sales fell … Continue reading →

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The Path to Economic Recovery—Part II

Financial FAQs Calculated Risk As I said in Part I of this series, there is a path to economic recovery from the worst recession since the Great Recession. Firstly, it means studying what economic policies have worked in past recoveries. … Continue reading →

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The Path to Economic Recovery

Financial FAQs Calculated Risk There is a path to economic recovery from the worst recession since the Great Recession—and maybe the Great Depression. But it means escaping from the free market economic orthodoxy that has prevailed since 1980, and which … Continue reading →

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Are We Having a Double-Dip Recession?

Popular Economics Weekly FREDgdp What if we have a ‘double-dip’ recession; i.e., when and if the US economy returns to negative growth in the fourth quarter? Notwithstanding the record 33.1% annualized snapback in real gross domestic product growth in the third quarter … Continue reading →

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Retail Sales, Manufacturing Recovering, But What’s Next?

Financial FAQs FREDretailsales Retail sales jumped 5.1 percent year-over-year in October, which means this recovery is much stronger than forecast. But the question for economists will be, can it continue with the ongoing winter COVID-19 surge? It’s incredible that consumers … Continue reading →

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There are Plenty of Available Jobs!

Financial FAQs Calculated Risk The 6.4 million job openings on the last business day of September, were “little changed” from prior months, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported yesterday. But it is below the 7 million job openings in … Continue reading →

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When Will Our Economic Civil War End?

Answering the Kennedys’ Call @WIL_inequality When Joe Biden becomes our new President in January 2021 and signals an ambitious ‘new’ new deal to rebuild America, the economic civil war that reached a high point with this presidential election has to … Continue reading →

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Another Good Employment Report

Financial FAQs FREDunemployment The U.S. regained 630,000 jobs in October and the unemployment rate fell sharply again to 6.9 percent, said the Bureau of Labor Statistics, reflecting a surprising show of strength for the economy even as coronavirus cases rose … Continue reading →

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How Will US Economy Survive COVID-19?

Popular Economics Weekly FREDpersonalconsumption The US economy must first survive this pandemic before it will benefit most Americans. Some sectors are doing better, but ignore the financial market swings, which benefit 401(k)s, but not most Americans. Advance estimates of U.S. … Continue reading →

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Q3 Real GDP Jumps +33 Percent

Popular Economics Weekly Calculated Risk We are not really out of the COVID recession, per Calculated Risk graph, even though the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) “advance” estimate of third quarter GDP growth increased +33.1 percent. But it’s still … Continue reading →

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