Tag Archives: Economy

Inflation Still Too High?

Financial FAQs In an excellent piece in MarketWatch, Jeffry Bartash quoted Fed Chair Powell on remarks he made last week in a 60 Minutes interview. Why do Americans still seem unhappy with the economy in many surveys? “People are going … Continue reading

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Soft Landing, What’s Next?

The Mortgage Corner The US economy has landed with the huge Q4 GDP growth spurt of 3.3 percent, and 335,000 nonfarm payroll jobs created, and inflation close to the Fed’s 2% target rate. What happens next? It looks like it’s … Continue reading

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US Economy Has Landed–Part II

Popular Economics Weekly I said last week there’s no longer any doubt the US economy has made a soft landing because the economy grew 3.3 percent in Q4 2023 and 3.1 percent for the year. The first look at employment … Continue reading

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Interest Rates About To Fall?

Financial FAQs Fed Chair Jerome Powell was as ambiguous as ever at yesterday’s post-FOMC press conference. He reported the Fed Governors decided no more rate hikes were warranted, but they needed to be more confident that inflation had been tamed … Continue reading

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Will 2024 Be Even Better?

The Mortgage Corner The US economy grew either 2.5 percent or 3.1 percent annually in 2023, whichever GDP growth indicator you choose. Why such strong growth when the rest of the world is still recovering from the COVID pandemic? Even … Continue reading

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US Economy Has Landed

Popular Economics Weekly There is no longer any doubt with the initial estimate of fourth quarter GDP growth just in. The US economy has made a soft landing. The economy grew 3.3 percent in Q4 after a 4.9 percent increase … Continue reading

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Much Less Pessimism

Financial FAQs Is the Irrational Pessimism I’ve been writing about finally turning into a more rational optimism that reflects how consumers see the current economy? The two major measures of consumer confidence—the Conference Board’s Confidence Index and University of Michigan’s … Continue reading

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Housing Recession Over?

The Mortgage Corner Is the housing recession over? The conforming 30-year fixed rate dropped to 6.60 percent this week, according to Freddie Mac. The fixed 30-year mortgage rate rose to its maximum 7.8 percent in October 2023 before gradually descending … Continue reading

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No Recession At All?

Popular Economics Weekly Ho hum, another good economic number. December retail sales are telling us why we have avoided a recession this year. It’s because consumers have increased rather than reduced their spending ways. Sales at retailers jumped +0.6 percent … Continue reading

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First Signs of Deflation Appearing

The Mortgage Corner Today’s Producer Price Index for Final Demand, a measure of the cost of wholesale prices, provides the first concrete evidence that we may be entering a period of deflation this New Year. And, perhaps require the Fed … Continue reading

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