Tag Archives: Federal Reserve

When Has Inflation Declined This Quickly?

The Mortgage Corner When was the last time inflation rates declined this steeply? You guessed right if you said the Great Recession. Calculated Risk’s colorful graph of various inflation indicators (gray bars are recessions) shows the history of Core CPI … Continue reading

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It Wasn’t the Fed

Popular Economics Weekly What more does Chairman Powell and the Federal Reserve Governors need to know to announce the inflation battle has been won? Its preferred inflation indicator has shown zero monthly increases for two months. The rate of U.S. … Continue reading

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How Low Can Interest Rates Go?

The Mortgage Corner Stocks and bonds are rallying after Chairman Powell sounded dovish for the first time at his December press conference following their last FOMC meeting of the year. “The question of when it will be appropriate to begin … Continue reading

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Please Drop Interest Rates Sooner!

Financial FAQs If I were the Fed Governors, I wouldn’t wait for inflation to drop further to begin lowering interest rates. The inflation rate has been falling steadily for more than a year and we might be in the midst of a … Continue reading

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Higher Productivity Lowers Inflation

Financial FAQs Why has the Fed got it so wrong with inflation, even though the inflation rate has been falling steadily for more than a year? Paul Krugman in a recent NYTimes Op-ed said the personal consumption expenditure deflator (PCE) … Continue reading

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What Happens Next?

Popular Economics Weekly What does the future foretell? Everyone wants to know what will happen next year now that the Fed is on hold and inflation continues to decline. I believe the construction industry is telling us the economy will … Continue reading

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Too Many New Jobs?

Popular Economics Weekly FREDavghourlywages The Fed Governors won’t like this morning’s unemployment report. The U.S. Census Bureau just reported that 263,000 nonfarm payroll jobs were created in November and average hourly wages are still rising 5.1 percent annually. To make … Continue reading

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Is Inflation Scare Over?

Financial FAQs BLS.gov Both the retail Consumer Price Index (CPI) and wholesale inflation index for raw materials—the Producer Price Index (PPI)—fell in July. Since the PPI feeds into retail prices, it’s a sure sign that inflation is on the wane. … Continue reading

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What Civil War?

Answering the Kennedys’ Call Texas, 17 other red state Attorneys General, and 126 Republican House members tried to keep President Trump in power after January 20 by breaking election laws and ignoring the United States Constitution. But the Supreme Court, … Continue reading

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Ending Our Economic Civil War—Part II

Answering the Kennedys’ Call MarketWatch President-Elect Joe Biden can call a truce from the ongoing Red vs. Blue states economic civil war with just announced picks of his economics team, including Janet Yellen as Treasury Secretary and the economic advisors. … Continue reading

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