Tag Archives: interest rates

How Severe Will Be The Next Recession?

Financial FAQs Graph: TradingEconomics.com Why are we discussing the possibility of a severe recession when GDP growth is expected to average 3 percent this year, the highest annual average growth rate in several years? Because there is too much federal … Continue reading

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Was There Ever A Soft Landing?

Popular Economics Weekly Graph: MarketWatch/R Shiller “The Federal Reserve has a chance to do something no U.S. central bank has done before, if it can slow the economy and raise the unemployment rate without pushing the economy into recession,” said … Continue reading

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Homeowners Preserve Rising Home Equity

The Mortgage Corner Graph: MarketWatch/Black Knight American homeowners have amassed a record $6 trillion in equity in their properties, according to a study by real estate data firm Black Knight, a figure boosted by surging home prices and a trend … Continue reading

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What Do Slowing Retail Sales Mean?

Popular Economics Weekly Graph: Econoday Retail sales are slowing this fall, yet consumers’ confidence is at an all-time high. Why are consumers buying less and saving more this season? It could be higher interest rates, as the Fed has raised … Continue reading

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Interest Rates Dangerously Low?

Popular Economics Weekly Graph: FRED Why should historically low interest rates be a problem, you say?  Doesn’t that help consumer demand by enabling consumers to buy more by borrowing more cheaply, and economic growth by encouraging companies to create more … Continue reading

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Why aren’t Wages Growing Faster?

Popular Economics Weekly Graph: FRED Interest rates are far too low for this late in the recovery from the Great Recession. We know this because the Treasury Yield Curve has been falling that measures the difference between the 10-year and … Continue reading

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Housing Construction Booming For How Long With a Trade War?

The Mortgage Corner How is it possible the 10-year Treasury yield has fallen back to 2.88 percent, and the 30-year fixed conforming rate is again 4.0 percent for 1 origination point in California? It’s all because the Trump trade wars … Continue reading

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April Housing Sales Slow

The Mortgage Corner Graph: Econoday The above graph says it all. With rising interest rates, housing sales are slowing a bit. Total existing-home sales, https://www.nar.realtor/existing-home-sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, decreased 2.5 percent … Continue reading

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Retail Sales, Consumers Resume Spending Ways For How Long?

Financial FAQs Graph: Econoday “Autos are the big story in March,” said Econoday, “jumping 2.0 percent and finally shaking off the long lull following the replacement surge of September’s hurricanes. Excluding autos, retail sales managed only a 0.2 percent gain … Continue reading

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Retail Sales, Consumers Resume Spending Ways For How Long?

Financial FAQs Graph: Econoday “Autos are the big story in March,” said Econoday, “jumping 2.0 percent and finally shaking off the long lull following the replacement surge of September’s hurricanes. Excluding autos, retail sales managed only a 0.2 percent gain … Continue reading

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